4

Up N Runnin

4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 82

Penn National · Race 2 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Penn National 02/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 71 par2/08C5OR 71
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-02Penn National?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength70%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20253rd6/168%50%-0.18