Gordian Knot
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 103
Penn National · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-07-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2023 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 31/05/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 08/07/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 28/07/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 22/02/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 29/03/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |