1
Rob The Rich
9yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 82
Penn National · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |