2
The Judge And Jury
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 77
Penn National · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 21/02/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 16/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |