Ira The Icon
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 83
Penn National · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |