5
Lafitte's Fleet
9yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 65
Penn National · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 37/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |