Power Agenda
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 73
Penn National · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Meadowlands | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-08-01 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-11-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2022 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 18/08/2023 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/08/2023 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 16/11/2023 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 01/08/2024 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 16/08/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |