IvyArcIvyArc
4

Garnet And Gold

5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 82

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 09/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 83 par9/08C6OR 83C8 @ Woodbine 07/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 87 parC7 @ Woodbine 20/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fas 121 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 86 par20/11C7OR 86C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 77 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 77 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 77 par13/07C7OR 77C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 6f 123 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 123 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 80 par24/08C8OR 80C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 123 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 81 par21/09C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-09-08Presque Isle Downs?4th5th−1
2026-08-24Presque Isle Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-07-28Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-07-13Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-09Presque Isle Downs?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/089/0624/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20256th13/266%17%-0.49
07/11/20254th9/276%40%-0.36
20/11/20259th11/271%0%-0.71
09/06/20262nd3/184%67%-0.18
13/07/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
28/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
24/08/20262nd1/195%80%-0.15
08/09/20264th6/594%40%-0.54
21/09/20261st6/492%100%+0.08