2
Time For An Angel
6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 97
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 4/11 | 98% | 14% | -0.84 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |