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5

Triple R Rated

7yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 74

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark11/06/2025 · OR 88 par11/06C7OR 88C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 6f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/06/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 88 par21/07C6OR 88C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 12/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 6f 123 · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 82 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 83 par1/09C6OR 83C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 80 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 86 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 86 par18/08C7OR 86C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 82 · 6f 123 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 82 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 30/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 76 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2026 · OR 76 par30/09C6OR 76projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2026-09-09Presque Isle Downs?6th7th−1
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-07-08Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2025-09-01Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2025-08-12Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0612/0818/0830/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20253rd7/491%60%-0.31
23/06/20253rd5/174%60%-0.14
21/07/20255th10/382%0%-0.82
12/08/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
01/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
08/07/20262nd15/261%67%+0.06
18/08/20264th9/276%25%-0.51
09/09/20266th11/271%17%-0.54
30/09/20265th10/147%20%-0.27