6
Candy Addiction
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 37/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |