4
Irish Stone
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 84
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |