5
Langstaff Road
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 79
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 23/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |