Ms Brightside
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 89
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |