IvyArcIvyArc
2

Tiger Division

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 86

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 63 · 6f110y 124 · below its mark11/03/2026 · OR 63 par11/03C8OR 63C8 @ Turfway Park 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 76 · 6f 124 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 79 par2/05C5OR 79C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 77 par10/06C8OR 77C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 79 par18/08C8OR 79C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 82 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 84 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 84 par22/09C5OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-09-02Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?2nd4th−2
2026-07-03Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-06-10Presque Isle Downs?2nd4th−2
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0325/0518/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20267th9/276%25%-0.51
29/03/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
02/05/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
25/05/20267th6/168%0%-0.68
10/06/20262nd7/491%75%-0.16
03/07/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
18/08/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
02/09/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
22/09/20261st5/287%100%+0.13