7
Cash For Whiskey
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 41
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |