4

Quinntopia
2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 84
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -70.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 22/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |