4

Quinntopia

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 84

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f110y 1202/09C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 84 · 6f 120 · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 84 par22/09C6OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-09-02Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0922/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -70.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20262nd14/126%75%+0.49
22/09/20262nd8/1597%75%-0.22