1
Driftwood
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 82
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 10% | -0.66 |
| 13/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 28/03/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |