7
Hold Your Applause
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 88
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |