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2

King Mendelssohn

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 94

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 30/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 81 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 81 par30/07C8OR 81C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 88 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 30/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 87 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 87 par30/09C5OR 87C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 89 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 93 · 6f 120 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 93 par19/12C8OR 93C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 89 par9/06C5OR 89C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 92 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 93 · 1m70y 123 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 93 par28/09C6OR 93projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-07-07Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-06-09Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-05-20Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2025-12-19Tampa Bay Downs?1st3rd−2
2025-10-16Presque Isle Downs?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0716/109/0628/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 83/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20252nd3/184%75%-0.09
19/08/20252nd3/184%75%-0.09
30/09/20253rd6/594%75%-0.19
16/10/20253rd13/891%60%-0.31
19/12/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
20/05/20262nd8/1196%80%-0.16
09/06/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
07/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
28/09/20261st13/891%100%+0.09