1
Buck's Howl
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 91
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-11-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-09-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 75/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |