8
Hit That Review
4yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 90
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 26/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |