IvyArcIvyArc
6

Ninja Prize

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 86

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Penn National 12/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 95 · 5f110y Fas 121 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 95 par12/12C5OR 95C5 @ Penn National 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 94 parC5 @ Penn National 26/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 93 par26/03C5OR 93C5 @ Penn National 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Penn National 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 88 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 88 par10/06C5OR 88C5 @ Penn National 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Penn National 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 81 par29/07C5OR 81C5 @ Penn National 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 6f Slo 121 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 79 · 6f110y Fas 125 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 79 par18/09C5OR 79projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-08-20Penn National?1st1st0
2026-07-29Penn National?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-06-10Penn National?4th4th0
2026-04-24Penn National?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1224/0429/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20254th11/486%25%-0.61
27/02/20262nd9/153%80%+0.27
26/03/20267th8/158%0%-0.58
24/04/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
10/06/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
26/06/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
29/07/20263rd13/266%60%-0.06
20/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
18/09/20262nd25/10%88%+0.88