3
Bottled Time
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 52
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-07-03 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 38/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +13.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 19/08/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |