9

Don Diva

7yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 52

Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Penn National 24/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 60 · 5f Yie 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 60 par24/07C7OR 60C8 @ Penn National 08/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 60 · 5f Fm 123 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 60 parC8 @ Penn National 29/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 62 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark29/08/2025 · OR 62 par29/08C8OR 62C8 @ Penn National 24/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 62 · 5f Fm 123 · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 62 parC8 @ Laurel Park 24/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 64 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 64 par24/10C8OR 64C7 @ Penn National 17/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 63 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 63 parC7 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 61 · 5f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 61 par21/07C7OR 61C7 @ Penn National 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 61 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 61 parC7 @ Penn National 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 52 par27/08C7OR 52projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Penn National?7th6th+1
2026-07-31Penn National?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-21Delaware Park?6th5th+1
2026-06-17Penn National?7th6th+1
2025-10-24Laurel Park?8th8th0
2025-09-24Penn National?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0724/0921/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength27%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20257th100/10%0%0.00
08/08/20257th40/10%0%0.00
29/08/20252nd40/10%80%+0.80
24/09/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
24/10/20258th100/10%0%0.00
17/06/20267th40/10%33%+0.33
21/07/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
31/07/20263rd12/137%0%-0.37
27/08/20267th33/10%14%+0.14