John Galt
4yo Gelding · 11-3
Sedgefield · Mowden Park RFC Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 178y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Leicester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |