9
Mia Sunshine
4yo Filly · 10-10
Sedgefield · Mowden Park RFC Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 178y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Sedgefield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Angers | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 11/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |