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5yo Gelding · 11-4

Sedgefield · Mowden Park RFC Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 178y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed some ability in bumpers but yet to make an impact over hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m125y GS 15626/1155 @ Market Rasen 14/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 15614/0454 @ Market Rasen 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 1588/0544 @ Market Rasen 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f140y Gd 15828/054projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-28Market Rasen45th5th0
2026-05-08Market Rasen46th6th0
2026-04-14Market Rasen55th6th−1
2025-11-26Market Rasen53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1114/048/0528/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +20.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20253rd10/147%50%+0.03
14/04/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
08/05/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
28/05/20265th33/10%43%+0.43