Speechman
6yo Gelding · 11-4
Sedgefield · Mowden Park RFC Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 178y
#5
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Ayr | 6 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 6 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-04 | Catterick | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/09/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |