Just Keeps Rolling
7yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 73
Sedgefield · Fairlight Studios At Sedgefield Racecourse Handicap Chase · 3m 2f 59y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 4 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Market Rasen | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Market Rasen | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Hexham | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-07-06 | Market Rasen | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-06-22 | Hexham | 4 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 400/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 26/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |