Kientzheim
6yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 115
Sedgefield · Jodie Standings Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 77y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-21 | Hexham | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Cartmel | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Carlisle | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Musselburgh | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 15/04/2025 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 25% | -0.70 |
| 26/04/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 03/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |