2
Aimeric
7yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 109
Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 34y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Sedgefield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Market Rasen | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 2 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |
| 26/09/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 73% | -0.21 |
| 08/05/2026 | 15th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |