
Cosmic Soul
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 103
Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 34y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Perth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Perth | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sedgefield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Sedgefield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sedgefield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 16/12/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 30/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |