4

Cosmic Soul

6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 103

Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 34y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Resumed progress when completing a Sedgefield hat-trick (4-timer including his all-weather win) in April. Winning sequence ended with a whimper following 10 weeks off at Perth and while his latest effort back there was much more like it, the assessor may just have him. Up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength33%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Perth 25/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 86 · 2m47y Goo 157 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 86 par25/095OR 865 @ Newcastle 16/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 63 · 2m56y Std 128 · beat its mark16/12/2025 · OR 63 par5 @ Wolverhampton 30/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 63 · 1m5f219y Std 130 · beat its mark30/12/2025 · OR 63 par30/125OR 636 @ Southwell 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 62 · 2m102y Std 140 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Sedgefield 10/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 2m178y Goo 154 · beat its mark10/03/2026 · OR 88 par10/035OR 885 @ Sedgefield 19/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 88 · 2m3f188y Goo 161 · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Sedgefield 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 98 · 2m3f188y Goo 166 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 98 par1/045OR 984 @ Perth 07/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 104 · 2m47y Gd 162 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 104 par4 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 104 · 2m4f35y Gd 160 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 104 par15/084OR 104projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Perth44th4th0
2026-06-07Perth412th12th0
2026-04-01Sedgefield51st2nd−1
2026-03-19Sedgefield51st2nd−1
2026-03-10Sedgefield51st2nd−1
2026-01-23Southwell61st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0923/011/0415/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -9.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20252nd11/271%88%+0.16
16/12/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
30/12/20254th8/158%57%-0.01
23/01/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
10/03/20261st85/4089%100%+0.11
19/03/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
01/04/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
07/06/202612th10/382%0%-0.82
15/08/20264th7/163%63%-0.01