Party In The Park
5yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 97
Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 34y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Hexham | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Newcastle | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Carlisle | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Kelso | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Newcastle | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 03/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 13/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |