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5

Whatsgoingonmarvin

4yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 100

Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 34y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressed into a useful sort on the Flat and having shown much more when runner-up at Catterick second time over hurdles, was flying too high in the Victor Ludorum in February. Well held on handicap debut a month later before set a stiff task on the level. This will reveal more upped in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 30/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 1m6f Goo 135 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 80 par30/074OR 804 @ Southwell 17/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 80 · 1m4f14y Std 135 · beat its mark17/08/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Sandown 12/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 80 · 1m1f209y Sft 136 · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 80 par12/094OR 804 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 87 · 1m2f5y Sft 138 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 87 par2 @ Kempton 27/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS27/1224 @ Catterick 30/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f156y Sft 1522 @ Haydock 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f144y Sft 154 · HIGHER CLASS14/0224 @ Stratford 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 105 · 2m2f148y Goo 151 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 105 par3 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 87 · 1m3f211y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 87 par9/053OR 87projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-09Ascot312th11th+1
2026-03-28Stratford46th6th0
2026-02-14Haydock26th4th+2
2026-01-30Catterick42nd2nd0
2025-12-27Kempton28th6th+2
2025-10-20Pontefract411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0720/1014/029/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
17/08/20253rd11/893%80%-0.13
12/09/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
20/10/202511th11/271%9%-0.62
27/12/20258th7/282%13%-0.69
30/01/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
14/02/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
28/03/20266th6/168%38%-0.31
09/05/202612th66/10%15%+0.15