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William Yeats

5yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 106

Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 34y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 5-y-o who belatedly delivered on the promise of last winter's course bumper success when winning a course handicap on August's reappearance. Failed to uphold the placings but still ran a cracker when second to Aimeric 3 weeks ago and he's sure to be involved again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Sedgefield 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m178y Gd 15519/1055 @ Sedgefield 24/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m178y Sft 1564 @ Catterick 16/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f66y Goo 15416/1244 @ Kelso 29/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m51y Goo 1584 @ Wetherby 22/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m Sft 15622/0145 @ Sedgefield 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 96 · 2m178y Gd 164 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 96 par5 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 93 · 2m3f188y Goo 165 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 93 par28/085OR 935 @ Sedgefield 14/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 99 · 2m3f188y Goo 167 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 99 par14/095OR 99projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Sedgefield52nd3rd−1
2026-08-28Sedgefield51st2nd−1
2026-04-10Sedgefield53rd4th−1
2026-01-22Wetherby43rd3rd0
2025-12-29Kelso46th6th0
2025-12-16Catterick45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1029/1228/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20252nd5/287%75%-0.12
24/11/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
16/12/20255th5/287%50%-0.37
29/12/20256th15/261%44%-0.16
22/01/20263rd50/10%82%+0.82
10/04/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
28/08/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
14/09/20262nd6/594%89%-0.05