8

Battle Stride

4yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 74

Sedgefield · Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 178y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains winless and little in the way of worthwhile form over hurdles for this stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 21/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13321/1156 @ Wolverhampton 28/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 51 · 1m4f51y Std 129 · beat its mark28/04/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Bath 14/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 51 · 1m2f37y Fm 131 · below its mark14/05/2025 · OR 51 par14/056OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 03/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 51 · 1m4f51y Std 127 · beat its mark03/06/2025 · OR 51 par4 @ Uttoxeter 27/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS27/0744 @ Stratford 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Warwick 04/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS4/1145 @ Uttoxeter 15/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m7f168y Hvy 145 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 87 par5 @ Market Rasen 26/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 74 · 2m2f140y Gd 142 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 74 par26/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Market Rasen58th8th0
2026-09-05Stratford50
2026-07-15Uttoxeter50
2025-11-15Uttoxeter55th5th0
2025-11-04Warwick410th9th+1
2025-10-06Stratford44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/113/064/1126/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +7.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20248th80/10%13%+0.13
28/04/20253rd2/189%67%-0.23
14/05/202510th17/255%0%-0.55
03/06/20255th13/266%20%-0.46
27/07/20258th150/10%30%+0.30
06/10/20254th80/10%40%+0.40
04/11/202510th200/10%31%+0.31
15/11/20255th40/10%20%+0.20
26/09/20268th150/10%30%+0.30