1

Cadillac Ranch

6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 98

Sedgefield · Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 178y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winning pointer but pulled up all 3 starts in that sphere in 2026. Shaped as if amiss on last month's hurdles debut but turned out 9 days later, he caused a huge surprise at this venue. Plenty went his way on that occasion and he was brushed aside at Bangor under a penalty. Mark looks stiff.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m3f188y Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS28/0844 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m145y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS8/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee45th4th+1
2026-08-28Sedgefield41st0th+1
2026-08-19Worcester4+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -57.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20261st80/10%100%+1.00
08/09/20265th28/10%43%+0.43