Sweet Cicely
4yo Filly · 10-3 · OR 74
Sedgefield · Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 178y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Market Rasen | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Sedgefield | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/09/2026 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |