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6

The Poet's Way

5yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 84

Sedgefield · Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle · 2m 178y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

No form for T. G. McCourt in Ireland. Hood back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 14.0 /10 (raw 10.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 12/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f170y Goo 15312/04C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f75y Goo 15115/05C8BHA82 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 82 · 2m1f165y Gd 150 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 82 par14/0682OR 82projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14DownpatrickBHA829th13th−3
2026-05-15Kilbeggan?11th15th−3
2026-04-12Down Royal?11th15th−3
2026-03-29Downpatrick?−3
2026-01-26Punchestown?−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0415/0514/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/202611th200/10%29%+0.29
15/05/202611th125/10%33%+0.33
14/06/20269th80/10%38%+0.38