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6

Cumnock

4yo Filly · 11-1

Sedgefield · Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) · 2m 178y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

51%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A cheap purchase considering her pedigree but shaped well in going down only narrowly from an unpromising position in a modestly-run C&D bumper on debut in late August. That shows she's up to winning one of these.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m178y Goo 15328/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sedgefield42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20262nd17/255%88%+0.32