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Moyanna

5yo Mare · 11-2

Sedgefield · Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) · 2m 178y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Linda's Lad mare. Half-sister to fair 2¾m hurdle winner Game On. Dam, fairly useful hurdler (2m winner), half-sister to useful hurdler (stays 21f) Wellington Arch. Shaped with some promise amidst inexperience when third of 14 in 2m bumper at Hereford on debut in March and entitled to improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hereford 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m53y Goo 1567/035
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-07Hereford53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37