8

Full Of Malice

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 8 · OR 58

Thistledown · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Slo 11810/08C6C6 @ Thistledown 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 11831/08C6C6 @ Thistledown 17/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 80 · 5f110y 118 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 80 par17/09C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Thistledown?9th9th0
2026-08-31Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-08-10Thistledown?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0831/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +26.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
31/08/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
17/09/20269th33/10%20%+0.20