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Silence Earthling

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 1 · OR 47

Thistledown · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f Slo 11810/08C6C6 @ Thistledown 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 37 · 5f110y 118 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 37 par31/08C6OR 37C6 @ Thistledown 17/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 49 · 5f110y 118 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 49 par17/09C6OR 49projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-08-31Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-08-10Thistledown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0831/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +27.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
31/08/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21
17/09/20263rd15/261%80%+0.19