1

Dr Schuster

5yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 88

Thistledown · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Mahoning Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 2 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 126 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 86 par25/03C7OR 86C7 @ Thistledown 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 91 · 1m 123 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Thistledown 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m 123 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 90 par11/05C7OR 90C7 @ Thistledown 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 87 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Thistledown 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 86 · 1m 119 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 86 par25/06C7OR 86C7 @ Thistledown 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m 119 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Thistledown 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 89 · 1m 119 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 89 par4/08C7OR 89C7 @ Thistledown 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Thistledown 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 89 par16/09C7OR 89projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-08-26Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-08-04Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-07-15Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-06-25Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-06-01Thistledown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/031/064/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/03/20261st1/899%100%+0.01
21/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
11/05/20269th11/271%0%-0.71
01/06/20267th5/174%0%-0.74
25/06/20262nd10/147%75%+0.28
15/07/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
04/08/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31
26/08/20264th7/282%57%-0.24
16/09/20264th14/126%40%+0.14