IvyArcIvyArc
8

Bacchanal

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 8

Thistledown · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f Slo 11810/08C6C6 @ Thistledown 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f110y 11831/08C6C6 @ Thistledown 17/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y 11817/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Thistledown?11th11th0
2026-08-31Thistledown?5th5th0
2026-08-10Thistledown?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0831/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%

Delivery trend +18.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
31/08/20265th25/10%0%0.00
17/09/202611th40/10%0%0.00