3

Kiss From Mom

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 3 · OR 50

Thistledown · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

85%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f110y 11817/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Thistledown?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03