1
Rabbi Rosette
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 43
Thistledown · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 25/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |