6
General Mathis
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 93
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
83%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 83/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 24/09/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |