2
Silence
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 96
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 23/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |